June 05, 2008
Foreshadowing
NP: John Cage, 4'33"
Jack Shafer tries to replace the "Hillary lost" meme with the "Obama won" meme, but the interesting part, to me, comes at the end:
One interpretation of the average poll data—my interpretation—is that as the field of candidates thinned and undecideds got off the pot, they migrated to Obama in huge numbers, first after the Iowa caucuses and then before Super Tuesday. Clinton, on the other hand, was a candidate whose market share was fixed. She never really expanded from her core of support, despite the many style, substance, and personnel changes she made during the campaign and no matter how much money she spent. And even then, she just barely lost the delegate count.
Emphasis mine. I may be reading too much into McCain's static poll numbers since he locked up the GOP nomination, but that's not what my gut tells me.
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