March 20, 2009
Geek Like Me
NP: John Cage, 4'33"
Putting aside for a moment how badly my math is doing, here's Nate Silver explaining how he did his brackets. Nate's more of a probabilities guy, so I guess I'm not surprised that he looked for a unified metric that he could apply to all the teams in order to set up a gazillion model runs, like he did with polls and the election.
My idea is to derive what's important out of the raw data, not the summary-level data he's using. Of course, my idea is only 13 for 20 right now. The old math is 15 for 20, tying President Obama, but with different results. All of my Sweet Sixteen are still in it, which is all I really care about right now.
Comments
Ok and so????????? What about now?
The sports junkie at my company says next year he's picking like I did this year -- pure emotion, baby! :-)
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