NP: Everton vs. Arsenal (DVR)

After a fairly stunning 29-3 in the first round of the NCAA tournament -- and I realize every other blogger, no matter what their nominal subject, is talking about their picks -- I was worried that my first-round math might not work quite so well in the second round. But one of the three games I got wrong over the weekend (so far) was for a matchup I hadn't predicted in the first place, and a second was #2 seed Wisconsin getting upset. So the first one doesn't really invalidate the math in terms of head-to-head matchups -- I'd be interested to see whether or not the matchup math would have predicted Vanderbilt. And the second one is one of those games that will likely hurt all poolers equally.

So, I'm still hanging on to that second spot in the office pool, and I still have the biggest upside potential in terms of number of games picked correctly, even if my "best score" isn't the highest.

At some point I'm going to have to go back and recreate the picks, because I don't actually remember the exact formula.

UPDATE: 12 of the Sweet 16. Looks like, if the math broke down anywhere, it was on the 4 vs. 5 matchups, but I'm still in really good shape, with all my Final Four still in it, and a virtual lock if my top pick turns out right.