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<entry>
   <title>list.in.to.chicago this week: 03.15.2010</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/music/005192.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/music//3.5192</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-16T01:50:18Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-16T02:57:15Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>All the cool bands seem to be in Austin for South by Southwest this week.<br />
</p>]]>
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</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Meta-Filtering The Meta-News</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005191.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5191</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-16T01:44:14Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-17T01:44:04Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>Kevin Drum <a href="http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/cable-news-bubble">makes some good points about cable news</a>, and his argument about the relative size of the Fox News audience, in particular, stands out.  This ends up of a piece with <a href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005159.shtml">earlier</a> <a href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005160.shtml">comments</a> about how extremely vocal minorities have a bigger effect on the current state of political discourse than the normal "squeaky wheel gets the grease" formulation would have you expect.</p>

<p>In what I would consider a different tack of the same argument, Andrew Sullivan flags a piece that speaks to the <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/03/killing-the-tv-set.html">utter uselessness of cable news</a>.  The point here, I think, is that the availability of individual news items on the Internet obviates the need for some blowhards arguing back and forth over what that news item actually means.  Sullivan's comment is that "All I see of it now is on the web, The Daily Show or Colbert. I feel far more informed because of that choice."</p>

<p>This sort of pulls the argument in two different directions at the same time, but they're not really contradictory.  People like their filters.  Sullivan either wants a smart filter (which is more like a meta-filter, but I'll get to that in a minute), or no filter at all.  He'll just drink from the firehose.</p>

<p>Chicago DJ James Van Osdol made an interesting observation that's pretty essential to this <a href="http://www.chicagonow.com/blogs/journal-vitriolic-observations/2010/03/smile-when-youre-lying-on-the-media.html">while talking about travel writing</a>, saying:</p>

<blockquote>I've made my peace with both the nightly news and the watered-down and politically safe album reviews that Rolling Stone publishes.  I treat radio "travel times" as educated guesses, rather than fact.  I'm an information consumer, circa 2010, who uses the media as a "gateway drug" to further learning.  

<p>Beats listening to NPR 24/7.</blockquote></p>

<p>That's pretty much it in a nutshell.  It used to be the reporter's credo that "if your mother says she loves you, check it out," but now the onus falls on the consumer of that reporter's work.  That percentage of people who live on Fox News don't even consider that they're not seeing the entirety of the story.  So it comes to these sort of meta-filters like Colbert or the blogosphere to interpret the interpretations of what actually happened, and not everyone realizes that this extra semantic layer (a) exists and (b) has become necessary to cut through the bullshit.</p>

<p>Of course, none of this even addresses the quality of the meta-filters, which, on the Internet at least, can vary wildly, since any jackass with an Internet connection can write a piece on how meta-filters sit on top of filters that sit on top of...hey, where are you going?<br />
</p>]]>
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</entry>
<entry>
   <title>It Should Be Obvious, But It&apos;s Not</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005190.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5190</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-15T16:16:36Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-15T16:26:46Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>It shouldn't really be news that a journalist at a mainstream institution like Time magazine is casting a skeptical eye at the framing of some political arguments, but I feel like Karen Tumulty taking a <a href="http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2010/03/12/re-bending-the-rules">hard</a> -- and even somewhat preemptive -- <a href="http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2010/03/13/self-executing-rule/">look</a> at what both sides and some experts have said in the past about "self-executing rules" is the exception that proves the rule.</p>

<p>The generous view here is that the scales are starting to fall from Tumulty's eyes, and she's investigating the issue thoroughly and providing proper context instead of just repeating the talking points she's getting from one side or the other.  The dim view is that, if you're on one side or the other, this looks like one of those "giving the opposing view equal consideration even when it doesn't deserve it" exercises the mainstream media are so good at.  I'm in a hopeful mood today, so I'm going with the former.<br />
</p>]]>
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</entry>
<entry>
   <title>This Week In Political Data Visualization</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005189.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5189</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-15T15:37:03Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-15T16:38:08Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/thegaggle/archive/2010/03/09/How-Legendary-Information-Designer-Edward-Tufte-Can-Help-Obama-Govern-.aspx">Newsweek reports</a> that President Obama is appointing Edward Tufte to an advisory panel for stimulus/recovery funds.  Apparently Tufte also consulted on the design of recovery.gov, and he's as big of a rock star as you can be when it comes to the visual representation of complicated data.  I've been to one of Tufte's presentations, and have three of his books on my shelf.  It's not a glamorous move towards government transparency, but it's a move nonetheless.</p>

<p>As for other cool uses of data, Nate Silver -- a data analysis rock star in his own right -- <a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/03/two-pictures-tell-story-on-health-care.html">built a couple of "word clouds"</a> off of open-ended questions in a recent health care poll.  It does a really good job of breaking down the two sides of the debate.</p>

<p>It still doesn't necessarily tell the whole story, though, as some of those against reform are actually against what shows up in the first cloud as opposed to what shows up in the second cloud.  Not all, but some, as evidenced by <a href="http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/end-tap-dancing">a report of a town hall meeting</a> between a Blue Dog Democratic house member and some Tea Party folks.</p>]]>
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</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Hopefully he wasn&apos;t planning to bring her to an away match in Europe</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/soccer/005188.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/soccer//7.5188</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-15T04:35:33Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-15T04:39:28Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>Channeling The Offside Rules a bit with this one.  The Huffington Post reports that <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/03/11/cristiano-ronaldo-sophie_n_494649.html">Cristiano Ronaldo really likes some topless model</a>.  And he'll have a little more time to pursue her <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/soccer/03/10/madrid.lyon.ap/index.html">after last week</a>.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>list.in.to.chicago this week: 03.08.2010</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/music/005176.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/music//3.5176</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-09T17:25:28Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-09T17:24:48Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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         <category term="newsletter" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>Yeah, late again this week, but I included what happened last night because I had already written it.  If you have a friend ask you to help move "a few things, just a couple of boxes," get it in writing.  Also, ow.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Premiership Picks By The Numbers</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/soccer/005175.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/soccer//7.5175</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-05T19:47:53Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-05T19:52:08Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>As some of you know, I've been playing in a predictions pool for the English Premier League this year.  After a couple of tough weeks, I've decided to see if I could turn my subjective decision factors into an algorithm that would just spit out my picks for me.  I was using a little bit of math already, but the other bits of information I was using seemed consistent enough that I could build it all into an actual equation.</p>

<p>So, anyway, I won't reveal the formula itself, but here's what it gave me for this round's matches:</p>

<p>Arsenal 4-0 Burnley<br />
West Ham 3-1 Bolton<br />
Wolves 0-2 Man Utd<br />
Everton 3-0 Hull City<br />
Wigan 0-2 Liverpool<br />
Pompey 1-1 Birmingham<br />
Sunderland 2-1 Bolton</p>

<p>We'll see after Tuesday how this all worked out.  If I go 7-for-7, I'm taking it to Vegas.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Speculation Or News?</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005174.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5174</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-05T17:29:31Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-05T17:40:20Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>There's a lot of talk today about a piece in the Washington Post that indicates Khalid Sheikh Mohammed <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/04/AR2010030405209.html">might get tried in military courts after all</a>.</p>

<p>Except, of course, that it doesn't.  What the article says is that some of President Obama's advisers are set to make a recommendation that the plan for a civilian trial be scrapped.  One would assume Attorney General Eric Holder disagrees, and still has the President's ear on this, and the article does not say that Obama has made any kind of decision.</p>

<p>The left is predictably up in arms over this, which makes me wonder what happens if Obama rejects this recommendation and stands by Holder.  The article cleverly puts the words "likely" and "Obama accepts the recommendation" in the same sentence, but does it in Cheney-esque fashion, giving the illusion that Obama is likely to accept, rather than that his advisers are likely to make the recommendation.</p>

<p>On the other hand, this is coming from more than one source, and part of the story is that the switch may be necessary to get Congress to agree to shut down Guantanamo Bay.  So, I'm not sure if this might actually happen.  Of course, neither are Anne E. Kornblut and Peter Finn, who wrote the piece, but that's not going to stop the blogs and the news networks from talking about this like it was an announcement that the decision has been made, which is why it makes me mad.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Expert By Association</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005173.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5173</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-05T16:40:41Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-05T16:45:15Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>Me, <a href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005167.shtml">talking about health care</a>, two weeks ago:</p>

<blockquote>Last night, I watched Howard Dean on Olbermann, and his comment about it was that the best way to pass a public option through reconciliation would be via an expansion of Medicare. My question is, if the current reform package can make it through as it stands right now -- which, admittedly, is still an open question -- what's to stop an effort to expand Medicare down the road?
</blockquote>

<p><a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/03/obama_promises_to_pursue_a_pub.html">Ezra Klein</a>, widely considered one of the most knowledgeable writers on health care issues, yesterday:</p>

<blockquote>I've long wondered why Obama didn't promise this a while ago. A bill offering a public option and Medicare buy-in to age 55 would be a popular bill, and a good bill, and could be done after health-care reform had passed. The administration and others like to say that the Senate legislation is just a start, and they should begin acting on that belief. Pass the start, and then begin trying to make it better with smaller, discrete bills that are easier to message and pass.</blockquote>

<p>Now, I don't read Klein as much as I read other people who read Klein, so maybe he's said this before.  But I take arriving at the same conclusion as a good sign that my critical faculties are still working.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Going Dutch</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/soccer/005172.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/soccer//7.5172</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-03T22:15:44Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-03T22:27:08Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>Quick thoughts on what we learned from the loss in Amsterdam:</p>

<ul>
<li>It's really easy to blame Jonathan Bornstein for the stupid penalty in the first half, but if you watch the play develop, you'll notice Landon Donovan flat-out refusing to play defense.  This forces Bornstein to push forward, which makes him vulnerable to the give-and-go from the Netherlands, which then leads to his bad decision.  Donovan was somewhere else entirely for most of this match.
<li>I think Jose Torres is out of the picture for the World Cup.  He had some flashes, particularly that nice shot in the first half, but was way too inconsistent for this level of competition.  Beckerman is probably a better choice is there's still a spot left, and Edu showed in the second half that he's a lock.  Great play from Mo.
<li>The DaMarcus Beasley resurgence is for real.  While I'm not at all happy to see Stuart Holden leave due to injury -- he looked good through thirty minutes -- I really liked what we saw from Beasley, particularly when he flipped over to the left side to start the second half.
<li>Speaking of that switch, some combination of Beasley to the left, Edu replacing Torres, and Bedoya taking over the right side and pushing Donovan up top woke up the American attack in a major way.  At this point, I think Donovan or Dempsey has to pair with Altidore.
<li>Jozy had two absolutely world-class moves in this match -- the backheel on the endline in the first half and the splitting move that freed him up for a shot in the dying moments of the game.  That may not seem like a lot, but it was against the Dutch and he's only 20 years old.
<li>Bornstein was clearly having a rough night, so it might be premature to bury the kid based on this performance.  On the other hand, neither outside back looked very good, at least until Heath Pearce entered the match.  Pearce is looking like a serious contender at left back, which will make things interesting if Onyewu fully recovers in time for South Africa.
<li>It will make things interesting because Bocanegra and DeMerit played really well together, and along with Michael Bradley, formed a pretty solid spine for the U.S. defense.  If Onyewu comes back, do you go with Bocanegra on the left, or Pearce?  My money is still on Bocanegra, but I want DeMerit on the field.
<li>Gotta love the Chicago Fire connection with Beasley hitting Carlos for the goal.
</ul>
]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Looking For Clues</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005171.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5171</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-03T16:56:31Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-03T17:06:04Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>Daily Dish guest blogger Jonathan Bernstein has a <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/03/politics-and-presidents.html">particularly thought-provoking post</a> about politics vs. policy, which is a meme that's been darting around the Internet a bit lately as it relates to health care.  Bernstein cites a writer named Richard Neustadt, who aptly points out that even the best president doesn't really know how policy decisions are going to work in the real world, but they can look for certain indicators that give them hints.  I really like the way that theory then gets applied to the health care debate:</p>

<blockquote>Presidents, in order to convince others to do the things that the president wants them to do, must figure out what the people who will administer a program can actually do (which, of course, differs from what they might say they can do -- reading clues is hard).  Presidents must figure out who really needs to support something so that it will pass, and know what they will accept (think public option. Who can you afford to lose -- Ben Nelson or Jane Hamsher?  And will the inclusion or not of a public option really make one of them walk?  What about Howard Dean and Blanche Lincoln, same questions?  The answers are not obvious, nor were they at the time).</blockquote>

<p>The bit in parentheses at the end is huge, in my opinion, and particularly refreshing among all the ADD-fueled second-guessing that's gone on through the process.  And seeing the complexities and the interdependencies of all the different organs of the body politic that Bernstein then goes on to talk about and figuring out which buttons to push to get the desired outcome is one of those things I've always seen as a strong suit from President Obama.  Consequently, it's a huge blind spot for an instant-gratification culture, and a large part of why the 24-hour news cycle can be so consistently unkind to him.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>list.in.to.chicago this week: 03.01.2010</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/music/005170.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/music//3.5170</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-02T20:24:48Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-02T22:09:53Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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         <category term="newsletter" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>Yes, I took yesterday off for my birthday.  I sorta needed it, but we'll get to that in the recap.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Ives Is Making My Head Hurt</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/soccer/005169.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/soccer//7.5169</id>
   
   <published>2010-03-02T15:35:57Z</published>
   <updated>2010-03-02T15:41:42Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>He's seen a preseason game, and he's ready to <a href="http://www.soccerbyives.net/soccer_by_ives/2010/03/a-preseason-look-at-the-new-york-red-bulls.html">go out on a limb</a>:</p>

<blockquote>From impressive rookies to quality international acquisitions, the 2010 Red Bulls have posted an undefeated preseason and are looking like a team that could surprise in MLS this season.</blockquote>

<p>"Could surprise"?  Um, Ives may want to meet the guy who wrote the second half of his post, who presumably knows what preseason results are worth, and helpfully points out:</p>

<blockquote>The Red Bulls are still looking for a right back, forward, central defender and left midfielder.</blockquote>

<p>So, they only have half of an attack, and half of a defense.  I guess I shouldn't focus on "could" and more on "surprise," because that doesn't really mean they're going to be good.  Just spectacularly bad in new and unexpected ways.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>About That El Salvador Match</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/soccer/005168.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010:/soccer//7.5168</id>
   
   <published>2010-02-26T16:24:45Z</published>
   <updated>2010-02-26T16:36:15Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>I didn't want to miss out on the fun of deciding the cosmic significance of Wednesday's U.S. match in Florida.  I agree with a lot of what I've seen in terms of who helped themselves and who didn't.  Heath Pearce and Brian Ching were clearly the big winners, with Clarence Goodson continuing to stay ahead of the likes of Jimmy Conrad and Chad Marshall in the central defense.  I think it was Ives who said Eddie Gaven helped himself, but while I did like what he added to his attack, he wasn't tracking back at all on defense.  There was a moment about five minutes into the second half where he was just walking back, forcing Brad Evans to push up late and then get beat.  And Brad Evans didn't really need that kind of help to show he's not quite up to USMNT standards.  Unless we need a role player off the bench, I don't see Gaven getting ahead of, say, Stuart Holden in the pool.</p>

<p>One guy I haven't seen singled out is Kyle Beckerman.  Out of the starting four midfielders, he may have looked the best, although Brad Davis could probably stake a claim there as well, being as active as Robbie Rogers but without all the bad passes.  With Beckerman, though, Bradley gets an insurance policy if one or both of Ricardo Clark and Maurice Edu aren't sufficiently in form after injury layoffs.</p>

<p>Speaking of Edu -- his club team, anyway -- and injury layoffs, I'm sure there are some people who are up in arms over DaMarcus Beasley getting called in for the Netherlands match, including the guy who was sitting next to me at the qualifier against Honduras at Soldier Field last year.  But while he has struggled, an in-form Beasley can still be a force to be reckoned with.  And no one knows that better than Bradley, his first professional coach.  This may very well be the winger's last chance for this World Cup cycle, though.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, back in Florida, I had initially thought Conor Casey didn't help or hurt his chances of going to South Africa with a typical bulldog-like first half, but that was before Brian Ching replaced him at halftime and totally schooled him in how to play target forward on this squad.  Casey looked like an orange traffic cone by comparison, and I doubt Bradley will bring two players for that role.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>
<entry>
   <title>Democrats and Immediate Gratification</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.notabbott.com/archives/main/005167.shtml" />
   <id>tag:www.notabbott.com,2010://1.5167</id>
   
   <published>2010-02-23T15:30:43Z</published>
   <updated>2010-02-23T15:48:10Z</updated>
   
   <author>
      <name>notabbott</name>
      
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      <![CDATA[<p>I've seen several headlines and blog post subject lines -- which seem like they should be the same thing, but I'm not sure that they are -- opining about <a href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2010/02/rockefeller_says_no_to_public_option.php">Jay Rockefeller pouring cold water</a> on this effort to revive the public option now that the Democrats seem committed to passing health care reform through reconciliation.  Predictably, I'm seeing a lot of wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth on the left about how this is the best chance for the Democrats to get something at least close to what they really wanted all along.</p>

<p>Last night, I watched Howard Dean on Olbermann, and his comment about it was that the best way to pass a public option through reconciliation would be via an expansion of Medicare.  My question is, if the current reform package can make it through as it stands right now -- which, admittedly, is still an open question -- what's to stop an effort to expand Medicare down the road?</p>

<p>The obvious answer, of course, is the midterms, but while everyone seems to assume the Democrats will lose Senate seats in the fall, it's a lot less likely that they'll lose the chamber altogether.  Plus, if they hold more of their seats than they expect -- a possibility if jobs start coming back by early summer -- they can spin that as a mandate to continue the work they've started.</p>

<p>This comes down to a fundamental difference in strategy between camps on the left.  On the one hand, you've got those who think that, if we don't do it now, we may not ever have the chance for a public option.  On the other hand, you've got the more pragmatic view that, if we don't do it now, we may not ever have another chance for any health care reform at all, and including the public option increases the likelihood of nothing getting done now by a number bigger than zero, so it's not worth the risk.</p>

<p>Which, in turn, is why 23 signatures from members of the Democratic caucus supporting the public option via reconciliation strikes me as largely irrelevant, because until you have 50 signatures, the uncertainty simply is more than I think the White House will tolerate.  And I'm not a policy expert by any means, but, again, I don't see why you couldn't do something like drop the minimum age for Medicare after the fact.<br />
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